(6) Oregon (8-1) at (3) Stanford (9-0) ABC 8:00pm EST Saturday November 12, 2011
By Orthell Jones
College Football Game of the Week
Wk 11: No. 7 Oregon vs. No. 4 Stanford 8:00 PM ET (ABC)
There are only six unbeaten teams left in college football. On Saturday night, the Oregon Ducks enter Stanford Stadium looking to whittle that number down to five. This is a critical game for both teams. Oregon looks to secure a spot in the Pac-12 Championship game, where they would then have the chance to advance to the Rose Bowl. Stanford, on the other hand, hopes to remain undefeated and strengthen their case as to why they should be in the BCS National Championship game at season’s end. Two weeks ago, Stanford won a thrilling triple overtime game against USC to remain undefeated, Although it seemed that USC would pull off the major upset following an Andrew Luck “pick-six” late in the fourth quarter, Stanford was able to regroup and comeback to win the game. This week, they face another team that can put a lot of points on the board. The Oregon Ducks average 46.0 points per game, and between the opponents they have faced this season, only LSU was able to hold them to under thirty points. That being said, it is safe to say that Oregon will put up over thirty points Saturday night, because Stanford does not have as good a defense as LSU has.
Stanford fans might not agree with that previous statement, since its college is ranked 11th in the nation in points allowed with 16.6 points. However, when reviewing their schedule, their defense has not been challenged for the majority of the season. Of the nine opponents Stanford has faced, only two have a positive record heading in to Saturday’s games. The combine record of their previous opponents is not impressive; they have combined to win only 32 out of 83 games. Moreover, only three opponents average over thirty points per game. When Stanford faced those three teams, their defense gave up an average of 27.7 points, which has to concern Stanford, because if USC was able to put up 48 points against them, Oregon will be able to as well.
In the Pac-12’s marquee matchup of the weekend, Vegas.com has Stanford favored by 3.5 points. This is an easy way to bet since Stanford has potential Heisman Trophy winner Andrew Luck as their quarterback, not to mention that Stanford is ranked higher than Oregon in the AP Top 25. However, Oregon has the 5th best rushing game in the nation, averaging just less than 300 yards per game. While most teams may have one running back with over 600 rushing yards this season, Oregon has two running backs with over 600 rushing yards. Also, if Oregon had not lost to now #1 LSU to begin their season, Oregon would be ranked above Stanford in the AP Top 25. Thus, giving the points in this game is as tough a decision as taking them.
This is a toss-up game like LSU vs. Alabama was last week, However, unlike LSU vs. Alabama, this game will likely be a shootout, in which the first team to 50 points wins the game. Last year, Oregon defeated Stanford 52-31, and the year prior to that, Stanford defeated Oregon 51-42. The outcome in this game will likely mimic one of these scores. Recent history has Oregon as the winner of this game. Since 2002, Stanford has beaten Oregon only one time. Therefore, people should take the points in this contest, as Stanford’s “luck” is about to run out.
Final Score: Oregon 52 – Stanford 31




